Essential, Roy Morgan and Resolve Strategic were all well within MoE, while Newspoll-You Gov and Ipsos were right on the edge of an acceptable MoE, some would say over for Labour. Tel: +61 3 8347 8300 Stragan is an award-winning accountant, born in Melbourne to Ukrainian parents. Melbourne Ports was first won in 1901 by Protectionist candidate Samuel Mauger, who had been a state MP for one year before moving into federal politics. The top issue is cleaning up the Indian River Lagoon. Preferences from fourth & further candidates total 21.8%, but 14% is with right wing groups which favoured Liberals over Labour over Greens strongly in 2019. Twitter: @JDGallop. (Melbourne local time. This was looking like a near-certain Labor retain but every batch of votes that has come in has been breaking exactly the way it needs to for the Greens to win, so basically they just need that to continue through the last 6000+ votes to win the seat, while Labor need the final 6000+ to be sufficiently weaker for *either* the Greens or Liberals for them to retain it. This service may include material from Agence France-Presse (AFP), APTN, Reuters, AAP, CNN and the BBC World Service which is copyright and cannot be reproduced. Trent had already calculated the breakdown of the primary vote for Albert Park based on the May federal results. A successful businesswoman, Bernadene has been a resident for 20 years in the electorate of Macnamara. He has worked as a computer systems administrator and consultant for small-medium enterprise. The electorate includes the suburbs of Port Melbourne, South Melbourne, Middle Park, South Yarra, St Kilda, Balaclava, Elwood and parts of Elsternwick and Caulfield. Continue work on West Melbourne flooding issues. Liberal 33.67% (31,327) 2. But the symbolism is incredibly important, with all the talk both before and after the election about the prospect of minority government and the low major party combined primary vote. Therefore the Greens are rapidly catching up but are not doing so at the expense of the Liberals. West Melbourne is building our own water plant, and now were talking about having our own fire stations. Do automatic recounts apply to 3CP counts? And all it will take is slightly weaker flows for them, particularly from the postal votes, or just less postal votes being returned, for Labor to stay ahead of them. Bandt increased his primary vote further to 42.6% in 2013, allowing him to overcome the decision of the Liberal Party to reverse past preference recommendations and put Labor ahead of the Greens. Poll Bludger has not called it for Labor, they have actually said the odds are most likely leaning against them now. Attracting and retaining businesses, while improving our infrastructure to keep up with the growth. I disagree with you Nimalan, its worth noting Labor still had a 7% swing against them and the Greens got a 4% increase in primary votes in one of the most gentrified areas of the Macnamara electorate (Port Melbourne). Please note that ballot preparation procedures vary by state and between jurisdictions within states. [email protected], Tel: +61 3 8645 6900Email: If anything, I would be extremely worried if I was Josh Burns. Macnamara covers the port and bayside suburbs of Melbourne south of the Yarra, as well as suburbs to the south-east beyond Punt Road between Dandenong and Glen Huntly Roads. This section is an excerpt from Results of the 2022 Australian federal election in Victoria Melbourne. Previous Meet the Candidates events include: The 2022 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates was held on 3rd mat at the boyd community Hub. It was located to the south of Melbourne's central business district and covered an area of approximately 40km2 around the north and north-eastern shores of Port Phillip Bay. I agree, PN. To date, we can boastOrion180 (300 jobs), Northrop Grumman (400 to 600 jobs), and creating less government for our small-business owners. The only seat that is in-doubt in my mind is Gilmore which is likely to go Liberal. For the latest information, searchABC Emergency, For the latestweather warnings in the Northern Territory, search onABC Emergency. Australia 2010 Australia 2013 Australia 2016 Australia 2019 Australia 2022 By-election Candidate numbers City of Brisbane Covid-19 Data . He was elected Leader after the 2019 election. Labour need only finish in final two run-off. As you say FL, the main thing working against Steph HM here is actually just the complete obliteration of the Liberals most likely making this a Labor v Greens count. Conceding and declaring victory is only a formality. The electorate includes the Melbourne CBD, Docklands, North Melbourne, Carlton, Richmond, Princes Hill, Collingwood, Abbotsford, Fitzroy, Fitzroy North and part of Brunswick East. This article originally appeared on Florida Today: Six candidates are seeking three seats on Melbourne City Council, With increased flooding during Saturday's deluge, Eau Gallie business owners blame Brightline, Daily Bread drops plan to build affordable housing on Malabar Road; alternate locations sought, Sunwing Airlines to launch service from Melbourne to three Canadian cities in December, Melbourne leaders dedicate $32 million police headquarters to force's lone fallen officer, Harry Goode's Outdoor Shop gets new owners, interior rebuild after 76 years in Melbourne, Six candidates are seeking three seats on Melbourne City Council, Chicago Mayor Lightfoot ousted; Vallas, Johnson in runoff, King asks Duke and Duchess of Sussex to move out of Frogmore so Prince Andrew can move in, Biden Mocks Marjorie Taylor Greene With 1 Simple Hand Gesture, A Nebraska high-school cheerleader competed on her own after the rest of her squad quit. He retired at the 1951 election and was succeeded by state MP Frank Crean. Labor 32.94% 2. GRN 28,657. Dont get me wrong. Crean quickly rose through the Labor ranks and was effectively the Shadow Treasurer from the mid-1950s until the election of the Whitlam government in 1972. Dec Prepolls are a similar situation. Either way this might be the last seat to be called because it wont even be mnown who the two-party count is between until a full distribution of preferences, and all 3 combinations are possible. The Division of Melbourne Ports was an Australian federal electoral division in the inner south-eastern suburbs of Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. Outreach and communication: Create channels of communication with residents and local businesses to understand and address concerns, engage residents in civic opportunities, and work together to proactively plan for our citys future. Melbourne Ports has become more middle class in recent years with accelerating inner-city gentrification and higher density housing developments. Thoughts on who wouldve won this seat based on the state election figures? It was located to the south of Melbourne's central business district and covered an area of approximately 40 km 2 around the north and north-eastern shores of Port Phillip Bay . Libs to get Higgins back and Greens to make Macnamara notionally Green. Agents must notify Ports Victoria of any changes to this schedule. Basically all that has to happen for the Greens to currently win, is that the votes need to keep breaking exactly as they are, and there needs to be at least 800 more postal votes received. . First Preference Results 1983-2019, The Labor lean of Melbourne Ports/Macnamara has declined at recent elections, but as discussed above, the three-way nature of the contest means the after preferences count is the secondary hurdle Labor must clear to win. ALP 30,499 3. The Greens could very easily gain this seat if Albanese turns out to be a disappointment and if the looming redistribution removes Caulfield and adds South Yarra and Prahran. Melbourne:2022 elections: Meet the six candidates running for three Melbourne City Council seats; 2019 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates for the House of Representatives seat of Macnamara, formerly Melbourne Ports, . The city, for now, contracts out its fire services to the county. Subscribe today. (My prediction is around 33.5% LIB, 33.3% ALP, 33.2% GRN). This article displays an image of an official 2022 sample ballot from Florida. Rob McCathie ( Liberal Democrats) Ben Schultz ( Animal Justice) Steph Hodgins-May ( Greens) Jane Hickey ( United Australia) Assessment Macnamara has been under threat from the Liberal Party in the past, but it's unlikely the Liberal Party could win in the current environment. The second last exclusion (UAP) is what leapfrogged the Liberals from 3rd to 1st and eliminated the Greens. Contents 1 Members 2 Election results 2.1 Elections in the 2010s 2.2 Elections in the 2000s The Greens topped the primary vote in St Kilda, with the Liberal Party a distant third. Tel: +61 3 9646 8544Email: Melbourne: 14 Sep 2022: 162(T)-22: Port Melbourne / Webb Dock Berth 3 East extension project restricted zone chainage extended: 02 May 2022: 408(T)-21: Port Melbourne / Webb Dock . Liberal vote recovered in parts of Caulfield which isnt good news for Labor holding onto Macnamara at the next election. The graph of first preference votes below shows rising Green support at the expense of Labor, a pattern repeated in many inner-Melbourne electorates. So it will be interesting to see what constructions they try to come up with. Labor will be desperate to hang on to its own newly-acquired seats, and presumably also very keen to protect and help the Independents as well. The retirement of long serving Labor MP Lindsay Tanner in 2010 produced a further switch in first preference support, the Greens finishing 1.9% short of Labor on first preferences and easily winning after being the recipient of 80% of Liberal preferences. Labor appeared to have picked up primary votes in both Brisbane and Macnamara just the greens picked up more, so not all negative for them Interestingly the preferences for non-green/lib/labor voters in those seats (mainly right-wing UAP,ON, LDP and smaller left-wing AJP) were split around 50% lib, 35% green and 15% alp so assume more UAP/ON/LDP voters preferenced greens over labor. It is named in honour of Dame Annie Jean Macnamara DBE, 1899-1968. Id be interested in seeing the final preference flows. Burns was the Labor candidate for Caulfield at the 2014 state election. If we consider that there was no minor right wing parties such as LDP and FFV running in 2018 state election there was actually a small increase in the right-wing vote. Listing of Victorian Ports Corporation (Melbourne) Notices to Mariners for the current calendar year and those in force at 1 January of the current year. My last 3CP calculation had the Greens 422 preferences ahead of Labour at the final 3CP count in Macnamara. Votante, re: Labor possibly having a record difference between their primary vote and 2PP vote, I think that ties into another likely record that this race will set, and thats the smallest margin between all 3 parties in a 3CP count. I only have the Greens beating Labor by about 50 votes which would be an automatic recount.. Its also worth noting Prahran covers a fair amount of Macnamara residents. That is a real possibility if they do well. Bandt describes himself as a book nerd and live music fan and at the time of his election was completing a PhD in Law and Politics at Monash University. As for the current results as they stand, the AEC has been conducting and publishing a 3CP count and the Liberals are in fact first: https://www.aec.gov.au/news/results-3cp.htm. I don't have a top three issues. The seven-member City Council will have three contested seats on the November general election ballot: Districts 2, 4 and 6. The electorate, formerly working class, was much more demographically diverse on its final boundaries, with rapidly accelerating inner-city gentrification and high-density housing developments in later years. These are the two issues that I plan to be talking about, Young said. Mathews held Melbourne Ports for a quarter of a century, retiring in 1931. Live scores Keep across all the live scores and results from the Australian Open at Melbourne Park Melbourne - Federal Election 2022 Share 86.9 % turnout, final figures GRN retain Adam Bandt elected 12.4% swing from GRN Preference count Labor Party Keir Paterson 39.8% 38,456 Greens Adam Bandt MP 60.2% 58,050 50% Where possible, the natural flow and filtering of runoff must be restored. Immediately below is the video of the event. Daniel, Poll Bludger hasnt called the seat. Should move up to Glen Eira Road regardless of whether that border will be with Macnamara as it currently is, or Higgins. i would part of the story here is that the Libs overperfomed in Elite areas such as Albert Park compared to May. Continue with the septic-to-sewer program helping residents who voluntarily want to discontinue septic and connect to sewer at a reduced cost. So the Liberals have no catching up to do to stay in the top two, because theyre already first by 50 votes. [email protected]. Twitter: @RickNeale1. If that happens, they win. Rebuild of State Road 192/Hollywood Boulevard intersection, including Evans Road. This may be due to Melbourne having a sitting Green MP in Adam Bandt, or be related to Labor pulling out of campaigning after disendorsing its candidate. And Vice Mayor Julie Sanders faces Adam Woodworth in the District 6 race. Agree, Dan M, also need to note that much of Prahran is also in Macnamara in all 3 seats the Libs overperformed their federal results in May and like what we saw in their elite heartland there was some recovery these seats (taking into account more right-wing minor parties this time like FFV) compared to 2018. ALP 29,152 3. Because Antony Green knows way more (if it is true that he was going to call it). Not just passing legislation in the House if representatives but also the symbolism of legitimacy that Anthony Albanese won a majority in his own right. I also support a public/private partnership between government and private enterprise to create a network of community land trusts throughout the county to provide long-term stewardship and conservation of open space and natural resources. Venue: Assembly Hall,Boyd Community Hub, 207 City Rd Southbank. Maintaining our business-friendly reputation by voting against any proposals or regulations which could be seen as a hindrance/raised taxes to small businesses and middle-class families. He won preselection against Simon Crean, son of Frank. Demographics (2019 boundaries): Median weekly household income: $1,866 (Australia $1,438) People over 65: 12.2% (Australia 15.8%) Australian born: 54.5% (Australia 66.7%) Ancestry: Chinese 5.6% Hickey is a qualified primary school teacher, social worker, and family therapist. In Labor's inner-northern seats, the Liberal first preference vote hovers around 25% and Green prospects swing on Liberal preferences. 1422 are remaining and they are breaking 24.8% LIB, 27.9% ALP, 34.2% GRN, 13.2% Other. The city of more than 28,000. We acknowledge Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples as the First Australians and Traditional Custodians of the lands where we live, learn, and work. Labor will emphatically opposite it. Growth will continue in West Melbourne," Johnson said. That is what is putting the greens in contention in both seats. A study reviewing the need for a city fire station could come before the mayor and the other six CityCouncil members by October. In Caulfield, the Liberal Party was far out ahead, while the Liberal Party narrowly outpolled Labor in Port Melbourne. Four incumbents Mayor Paul Alfrey,District 1 Council Member Tim Thomas,District 3 Council Member Yvonne Minus andDistrict 5 Council Member Mimi Hanley are not on the ballot this fall. In other words, current vote trends are extending the Liberals 50 vote lead, and closing the Greens 495 vote deficit to push Labor into third. A successful businesswoman, Bernadene has been a resident for 20 years in the electorate of Macnamara. The Greens finished a close third in 2007, passing the Liberals on preference transfers to finish second to Labor. All the seats on the ABC website that are in-doubt will remain with the parties that currently lead them on the current counts. New developments cannot be at the expense of our existing neighborhoods. Full distribution of preferences was just released in a zip file according to Poll Bludger, I downloaded it and had a look then. Results 1983-2019. Labor 33.48% (31,149) 3. Additionally, I made a promise to focus on jobs. Bandt was easily re-elected in 2016 and 2019 when Labor's vote slipped to third place behind the Liberal candidate. It was replaced by the division of Macnamara which had almost identical boundaries. First, the trend occurred first in Melbourne before it was followed in Batman, Wills, Melbourne Ports and Higgins. This made Adam Bandt the first Green to win a seat in the House of Representatives at a general election. Labors primary votes in all three of these electorates went backwards which should set Red flags in Labor HQ. Results prior to 2019 were under the electorate's former name of Melbourne Ports.). Macnamara was a medical researcher and doctor who discovered there was more than one type of the polio virus and worked extensively with children suffering from poliomyelitis, training doctors and physiotherapists in the management of the disease. This model has been successfully used in other communities across the country. Born and raised in Caulfield, Burns is the grandson of Jewish migrants who left Europe and settled in Melbourne in search of a safe place to raise their families. Unlock unlimited digital access to floridatoday.com Click here and subscribe today. 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